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Viewpoint: Bitcoin May See a Gold-Driven Rally, but the Time Window Is Shrinking
BlockBeats News, October 23rd, David Grider, Partner at Finality Capital Partners and former Head of Research at Grayscale, posted on social media that as of 2025, gold has outperformed Bitcoin significantly. Similar situations have only occurred twice in the past eight years—2018 and 2022—both of which were bearish cycles in the crypto market.
The market generally expects Bitcoin to follow the parabolic rise of gold and reach the $170,000 mark by the end of the year. We agree with CrossBorder Capital's view that gold has a significant impact on Bitcoin's price. After all, both are deeply influenced by global liquidity, but risk appetite and geopolitical factors also play a crucial role.
From a data modeling perspective, CrossBorder Capital's analysis indicates that gold and Bitcoin show a short-term negative correlation, but maintain a long-term positive correlation—typically taking 8-9 weeks for gold price increases to transmit to Bitcoin.
Overall, we believe that Bitcoin's catch-up trade offers a better risk-return ratio in most periods. However, if a catch-up rally primarily driven by liquidity/money devaluation is to occur, it must be initiated soon. Otherwise, the current correlation between gold and Bitcoin may break due to geopolitical and risk appetite factors. As seen at the beginning of 2022, during the bear market initiation when gold rose and Bitcoin fell amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
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WEEX P2P update: Country/region restrictions for ad posting
To improve ad security and matching accuracy, WEEX P2P now allows advertisers to restrict who can trade with their ads based on country or region. Advertisers can select preferred counterparty locations for a safer, smoother trading experience.
I. Overview
When publishing P2P ads, advertisers can now set the following:
Allow only counterparties from selected countries or regions to trade with your ads.
With this feature, you can:
Target specific user groups more precisely.Reduce cross-region trading risks.Improve order matching quality.
II. Applicable scenarios
The following are some common scenarios:
Restrict payment methods: Limit orders to users in your country using supported local banks or wallets.Risk control: Avoid trading with users from high-risk regions.Operational strategy: Tailor ads to specific markets.
III. How to get started
On the ad posting page, find "Trading requirements":
Select "Trade with users from selected countries or regions only".Then select the countries or regions to add to the allowlist.Use the search box to quickly find a country or region.Once your settings are complete, submit the ad to apply the restrictions.
When an advertiser enables the "Country/Region Restriction" feature, users who do not meet the criteria will be blocked when placing an order and will see the following prompt:
If you encounter this issue when placing an order as a regular user, try the following solutions.
Choose another ad: Select ads that do not restrict your country/region, or ads that allow users from your location.Show local ads only: Prioritize ads available in the same country as your identity verification.
IV. Benefits
Compared with ads without country/region restrictions, this feature provides the following improvements.
Aspect
Improvement
Trading security
Reduces abnormal orders and fraud risk
Conversion efficiency
Matches ads with more relevant users
Order completion rate
Reduces failures caused by incompatible payment methods
V. FAQ
Q1: Why are some users not able to place orders on my ad?
A1: Their country or region may not be included in your allowlist.
Q2: Can I select multiple countries or regions when setting the restriction?
A2: Yes, multiple selections are supported.
Q3: Can I edit my published ads?
A3: Yes. You can edit your ad in the "My Ads" list. Changes will take effect immediately after saving.
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