Franklin Templeton: The Future of Crypto Custody Companies Is Uncertain, With a 'Dangerous' Feedback Loop Risk

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/07/03 20:01:50
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BlockBeats News, July 3rd, according to The Block, an analyst from Franklin Templeton's digital asset department warned that although the corporate crypto treasury trend has brought some upward potential, the "risk of a negative feedback loop" poses a "particularly dangerous situation." More and more public companies are adopting the crypto treasury model: raising funds through stocks, convertible notes, preferred stock, and other financing instruments to purchase and hold cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, etc., and adding them to their balance sheets. Several companies have raised billions of dollars through various financing means, each with different risk-return characteristics.

The analyst added that the rising cryptocurrency prices may also increase the company's market value, creating a positive feedback loop that attracts more investors. However, Franklin Templeton warned that this model also comes with significant risks. If the market value-to-net asset value (NAV) ratio is below 1, newly issued shares will have a dilutive effect, making it difficult for the company to raise capital without harming existing shareholders' interests, hindering capital formation, and breaking the original virtuous cycle.

Even worse, a decline in cryptocurrency prices could trigger a negative feedback loop. Companies may be forced to sell assets to support the stock price, further suppressing cryptocurrency prices and investor confidence, ultimately forming a self-reinforcing downward spiral. The corporate crypto treasury model represents a new stage of institutional adoption of cryptocurrency, but it is not without risks. Maintaining a market value above net assets, engaging in value-added transactions, and effectively managing market volatility will be key to these companies' long-term success.

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DDC Enterprise Limited Announces 2025 Unaudited Preliminary Financial Performance: Record Revenue Achieved, Bitcoin Treasury Grows to 2183 Coins

On March 4, 2026, DDC Enterprise Limited (NYSE American: DDC) today announced preliminary, unaudited full-year financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2025. The company expects to achieve record revenue and record positive adjusted EBITDA, primarily driven by continued growth in its core consumer food business and overall margin improvement. The final audited financial report is expected to be released in mid-April 2026.


2025 Full-Year Financial Highlights


Revenue: Expected to be between $39 million and $41 million, reaching a new company high.


Organic Growth: Excluding the impact of the company's strategic contraction of its U.S. operations, core revenue is expected to grow 11% to 17% year over year.


Gross Profit Margin: Expected to be between 28% and 30%, reflecting continued operational efficiency improvements.


Adjusted EBITDA: The company expects to achieve a positive full-year result in 2025, a significant improvement from a $3.5 million loss in 2024, mainly due to rigorous cost controls and a higher-margin sales mix.


Core Consumer Food Business Performance


In 2025, DDC's core consumer food business maintained strong operational performance.


The company also disclosed Core Consumer Food Business Adjusted EBITDA, a metric that further excludes costs related to its Bitcoin reserve strategy and non-cash fair value adjustments related to its Bitcoin holdings from adjusted EBITDA to more accurately reflect the core business performance.


In 2025, Core Consumer Food Business Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between $5.5 million and $6 million.


Bitcoin Reserve Update


In the first half of 2025, DDC initiated a long-term Bitcoin accumulation strategy, holding Bitcoin as its primary reserve asset.


As of December 31, 2025: The company holds 1,183 BTC.


As of February 28, 2026: Holdings increased to 2,118 BTC


Today's additional purchase of 65 BTC brings the company's total holdings to 2,183 BTC


DDC Founder, Chairman, and CEO Norma Chu stated, "We are proud to have closed 2025 with record revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA, demonstrating the steady growth of the company's consumer food business and the ongoing improvement in profitability. We are building a disciplined, growth-oriented food platform and strategically allocating capital to Bitcoin assets with a long-term view, aligning with our core beliefs. We believe that this dual-track model of 'Steady Consumer Business + Strategic Bitcoin Reserve' will help DDC create lasting long-term value for shareholders."


Adjusted EBITDA Definition
For the full year 2025, the company defines "Adjusted EBITDA" (a non-GAAP financial measure) as: Net income / (loss) excluding the following items:· Interest expense· Taxes· Foreign exchange gains/losses· Long-lived asset impairment· Depreciation and amortization· Non-cash fair value changes related to financial instruments (including Bitcoin holdings)· Stock-based compensation


About DDC Enterprise Limited


DDC Enterprise Limited (NYSE: DDC) is actively implementing its corporate Bitcoin Treasury strategy while continuing to strengthen its position as a leading global Asian food platform.


The company has established Bitcoin as a core reserve asset and is executing a prudent, long-oriented accumulation strategy. While expanding its portfolio of food brands, DDC is gradually becoming one of the public company pioneers in integrating Bitcoin into its corporate financial architecture.


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